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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→17

+5

Oregon Ducks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~15→15

+0

Northwestern Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Oregon Ducks forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

2

Oregon Ducks droughts

5:03

Longest drought

Northwestern Wildcats

32

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Oregon Ducks drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Jake West makes 26-foot three point jumper (Nick Martinelli assists)

3-Pointer

5:03

12.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 8 → 10 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Nick Martinelli makes driving layup (Jake West assists)

2-Pointer

3:25

5.0 pts

Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 45 → 46 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Wei Lin makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:13

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 18 → 21 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Drew Carter makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nate Bittle assists)

3-Pointer

3:44

6.0 pts