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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Conference game
Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans

82

vs
UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins

59

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~13→13

+0

UCLA Bruins

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→28

+15

Michigan State Spartans averages 1 droughts/game  · UCLA Bruins forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Michigan State Spartans droughts

2

UCLA Bruins droughts

8:01

Longest drought

UCLA Bruins

41

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

3 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UCLA Bruins drought cost

2 droughts • 28 pts drought cost

28

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 64 → 66 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Jaxon Kohler makes 8-foot hook shot (Kur Teng assists)

2-Pointer

4:12

0.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 43 → 46 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jeremy Fears Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaxon Kohler assists)

3-Pointer

3:34

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 80 → 82 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jesse McCulloch makes 9-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:02

6.0 pts

UCLA Bruins

UCLA Bruins

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 18 pts

Ended by: Donovan Dent makes layup

2-Pointer

8:01

18.0 pts

2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Steven Jamerson II makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

6:16

10.0 pts