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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference game
Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes

57

vs
Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers

78

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Iowa Hawkeyes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→19

+8

Purdue Boilermakers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→3

-8

Iowa Hawkeyes averages 1 droughts/game  · Purdue Boilermakers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Iowa Hawkeyes droughts

1

Purdue Boilermakers droughts

5:06

Longest drought

Iowa Hawkeyes

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Iowa Hawkeyes drought cost

2 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Purdue Boilermakers drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Tavion Banks makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

5:06

12.0 pts

1H → 2HsignificantTO called

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Tate Sage makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:59

7.0 pts

Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue Boilermakers

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Trey Kaufman-Renn makes layup (Fletcher Loyer assists)

2-Pointer

3:17

3.0 pts