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Sunday, February 8, 2026

Conference game
Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes

76

vs
Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern Wildcats

70

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Iowa Hawkeyes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→5

-7

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~16→16

+0

Iowa Hawkeyes averages 1 droughts/game  · Northwestern Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Iowa Hawkeyes droughts

2

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

5:10

Longest drought

Northwestern Wildcats

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Iowa Hawkeyes drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Bennett Stirtz makes 12-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:05

5.0 pts

Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 40 → 43 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jake West makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

5:10

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Arrinten Page makes 2-foot dunk (Jayden Reid assists)

2-Pointer

3:01

6.0 pts