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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Oregon Ducks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→31

+19

Ohio State Buckeyes

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→7

-4

Oregon Ducks averages 2 droughts/game  · Ohio State Buckeyes forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Oregon Ducks droughts

1

Ohio State Buckeyes droughts

7:22

Longest drought

Oregon Ducks

38

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Ohio State Buckeyes drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Oregon Ducks drought cost

3 droughts • 31 pts drought cost

31

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks

3
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 43 → 46 · Opponent scored 21 pts

Ended by: Nate Bittle makes 23-foot three point jumper (Wei Lin assists)

3-Pointer

7:22

21.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Wei Lin makes layup (Takai Simpkins assists)

2-Pointer

4:22

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 5 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Takai Simpkins makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:02

3.0 pts

Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 69 → 70 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Devin Royal makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

7.0 pts