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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→11

+0

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→15

+1

Michigan State Spartans averages 1 droughts/game  · Northwestern Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Michigan State Spartans droughts

2

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

6:31

Longest drought

Michigan State Spartans

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 28 → 29 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Carson Cooper makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

6:31

11.0 pts

Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 45 → 46 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Nick Martinelli makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:31

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 → 26 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Nick Martinelli makes 13-foot jumper (Jayden Reid assists)

2-Pointer

3:22

5.0 pts