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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~1411

-3

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1615

-1

Michigan State Spartans averages 2 droughts/game  · Northwestern Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

1

Northwestern Wildcats Droughts

2

Longest Drought

6:31

Michigan State Spartans

Drought Point Swing

26

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Northwestern Wildcats Drought Impact

2 droughts15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 2829 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Carson Cooper makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

6:31

23.4 opp pts

Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4546 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Nick Martinelli makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:31

15.8 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2426 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Nick Martinelli makes 13-foot jumper (Jayden Reid assists)

2-Pointer

3:22

10.6 opp pts