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Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→8

-2

Marshall Thundering Herd

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~11→12

+1

UNC Wilmington Seahawks averages 1 droughts/game  · Marshall Thundering Herd forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UNC Wilmington Seahawks droughts

2

Marshall Thundering Herd droughts

5:27

Longest drought

Marshall Thundering Herd

20

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Marshall Thundering Herd drought impact

2 droughts • 12 unanswered points allowed

12

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

UNC Wilmington Seahawks drought impact

1 drought • 8 unanswered points allowed

8

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UNC Wilmington Seahawks

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 61 → 62 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Nolan Hodge made Free Throw.

Free Throw

4:13

15.4 opp pts

Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall Thundering Herd

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Matt Van Komen made Jumper.

2-Pointer

5:27

17.4 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Caleb Hollenbeck made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Wilson Dubinsky.

3-Pointer

3:01

9.2 opp pts