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Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Texas State Bobcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→7

-1

Abilene Christian Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:04

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→21

+8

Texas State Bobcats averages 1 droughts/game  · Abilene Christian Wildcats forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Texas State Bobcats droughts

2

Abilene Christian Wildcats droughts

6:42

Longest drought

Abilene Christian Wildcats

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Abilene Christian Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 21 pts drought cost

21

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Texas State Bobcats drought cost

2 droughts • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Makai Willis made Layup.

2-Pointer

4:15

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 18 → 20 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Kaden Gumbs made Layup. Assisted by Dimp Pernell.

2-Pointer

3:06

2.0 pts

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Abilene Christian Wildcats

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 6 → 7 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Joseph Scott made Free Throw.

Free Throw

6:42

11.0 pts

1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Rich Smith made Jumper.

2-Pointer

5:17

10.0 pts