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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1114

+3

Cal State Northridge Matadors

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~135

-8

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos averages 2 droughts/game  · Cal State Northridge Matadors forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Droughts

2

Cal State Northridge Matadors Droughts

1

Longest Drought

3:44

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Drought Point Swing

19

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts14 unanswered points allowed

14.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1922 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Aidan Mahaney makes 26-foot three point jumper (Colin Smith assists)

3-Pointer

3:15

15.7 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 7980 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: CJ Shaw makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:10

11.6 opp pts

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Josiah Davis makes layup

2-Pointer

3:44

12.9 opp pts