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Sunday, November 16, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal State Northridge Matadors

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→6

-5

Troy Trojans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→9

+0

Cal State Northridge Matadors averages 1 droughts/game  · Troy Trojans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Cal State Northridge Matadors droughts

1

Troy Trojans droughts

3:54

Longest drought

Troy Trojans

15

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal State Northridge Matadors drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Troy Trojans drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 54 → 57 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Larry Hughes II made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Mahmoud Fofana.

3-Pointer

3:10

6.0 pts

Troy Trojans

Troy Trojans

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 68 → 71 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Cobi Campbell made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Thomas Dowd.

3-Pointer

3:54

9.0 pts