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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Conference game
Xavier MusketeersXavier Musketeers

89

vs
Villanova WildcatsVillanova Wildcats

92

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Xavier Musketeers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

Villanova Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~10→20

+10

Xavier Musketeers averages 1 droughts/game  · Villanova Wildcats forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Xavier Musketeers droughts

3

Villanova Wildcats droughts

4:11

Longest drought

Villanova Wildcats

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Villanova Wildcats drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Xavier Musketeers

Xavier Musketeers

0

No notable droughts

Villanova Wildcats

Villanova Wildcats

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 75 → 76 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Acaden Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:11

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Acaden Lewis makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:18

2.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Duke Brennan makes layup

2-Pointer

3:12

11.0 pts