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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Butler Bulldogs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→18

+8

Villanova Wildcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→12

+2

Butler Bulldogs averages 1 droughts/game  · Villanova Wildcats forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Butler Bulldogs droughts

2

Villanova Wildcats droughts

3:53

Longest drought

Butler Bulldogs

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Butler Bulldogs drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Villanova Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Butler Bulldogs

Butler Bulldogs

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 56 → 58 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Michael Ajayi makes layup

2-Pointer

3:53

8.0 pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 33 → 36 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jamie Kaiser Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Finley Bizjack assists)

3-Pointer

3:19

10.0 pts

Villanova Wildcats

Villanova Wildcats

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Acaden Lewis makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:46

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Duke Brennan makes layup (Bryce Lindsay assists)

2-Pointer

3:11

3.0 pts