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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→6

-6

Valparaiso Beacons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~13→10

-3

Northwestern Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Valparaiso Beacons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

1

Valparaiso Beacons droughts

3:21

Longest drought

Northwestern Wildcats

16

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Valparaiso Beacons drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Nick Martinelli makes driving layup (Jordan Clayton assists)

2-Pointer

3:21

6.0 pts

Valparaiso Beacons

Valparaiso Beacons

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 37 → 39 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Barnes makes 9-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:09

10.0 pts