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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

California Golden Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~17→20

+3

Duke Blue Devils

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 5 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~5→17

+12

California Golden Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · Duke Blue Devils forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

California Golden Bears droughts

2

Duke Blue Devils droughts

3:56

Longest drought

Duke Blue Devils

37

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

California Golden Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Duke Blue Devils drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
California Golden Bears

California Golden Bears

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Lee Dort makes 0-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:44

13.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Justin Pippen makes 25-foot three pointer

3-Pointer

3:34

7.0 pts

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Cameron Boozer makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:56

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 19 → 21 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Caleb Foster makes 10-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:11

10.0 pts