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Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~16→27

+11

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

Louisville Cardinals averages 1 droughts/game  · Duke Blue Devils forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

4

Louisville Cardinals droughts

0

Duke Blue Devils droughts

4:12

Longest drought

Louisville Cardinals

27

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

4 droughts • 27 pts drought cost

27

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

4
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 53 → 55 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Adrian Wooley makes layup

2-Pointer

4:12

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 62 → 64 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:10

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 66 → 68 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Sananda Fru makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:06

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 40 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Isaac McKneely makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:05

4.0 pts

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

0

No notable droughts