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Friday, January 2, 2026

Conference game
California Golden BearsCalifornia Golden Bears

72

vs
Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame Fighting Irish

71

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

California Golden Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→11

-1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:35

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→14

+6

California Golden Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · Notre Dame Fighting Irish forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

California Golden Bears droughts

2

Notre Dame Fighting Irish droughts

5:24

Longest drought

California Golden Bears

25

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

California Golden Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Notre Dame Fighting Irish drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
California Golden Bears

California Golden Bears

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 63 → 65 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Chris Bell makes driving layup

2-Pointer

5:24

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 → 27 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Semetri Carr makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dai Dai Ames assists)

3-Pointer

3:10

2.0 pts

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Carson Towt makes 0-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:45

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Sir Mohammed makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:11

7.0 pts