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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Lafayette Leopards

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~19→14

-5

Navy Midshipmen

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~10→9

-1

Lafayette Leopards averages 2 droughts/game  · Navy Midshipmen forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Lafayette Leopards droughts

2

Navy Midshipmen droughts

5:14

Longest drought

Lafayette Leopards

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Lafayette Leopards drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Navy Midshipmen drought cost

2 droughts • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Lafayette Leopards

Lafayette Leopards

2
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 36 → 38 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Caleb Williams makes 15-foot jumper

2-Pointer

5:14

7.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 5 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: KaiMani Murdock makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mark Butler assists)

3-Pointer

4:29

7.0 pts

Navy Midshipmen

Navy Midshipmen

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Aidan Kehoe makes layup (Cam Cole assists)

2-Pointer

4:01

4.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Donovan Draper makes layup (Aidan Kehoe assists)

2-Pointer

3:03

5.0 pts