St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies at South Dakota State Jackrabbits

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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Conference game

South Dakota State Jackrabbits

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

South Dakota State Jackrabbits

High confidence

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

Pts ceded

~10→17

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

Moderate confidence

est. droughts

3:52

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

Pts ceded

~7→5

-2

South Dakota State Jackrabbits averages 1 droughts/game · St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total droughts

Both teams combined

South Dakota State Jackrabbits droughts

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies droughts

5:40

Longest drought

South Dakota State Jackrabbits

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

South Dakota State Jackrabbits drought cost

1 drought • 17 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

South Dakota State Jackrabbits

2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 17 pts

Ended by: Jaden Jackson makes layup

2-Pointer

5:40

17.0 pts

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 31 → 33 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ryan Dufault makes layup (Nolan Minessale assists)

2-Pointer

4:37

5.0 pts