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Thursday, January 15, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~153

-12

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:39

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~13

+2

Pts Ceded

~917

+8

North Dakota Fighting Hawks averages 2 droughts/game  · St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

North Dakota Fighting Hawks Droughts

1

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:01

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

Drought Point Swing

20

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought3 unanswered points allowed

3.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Dakota Fighting Hawks

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3638 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Eli King makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:21

9.7 opp pts

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2324 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Nolan Minessale makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:01

19.1 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3740 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Nick Janowski makes 25-foot three point jumper (Austin Herro assists)

3-Pointer

3:45

11.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2122 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Johnson-Arigu makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

11.2 opp pts