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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Baylor Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→12

-1

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→16

+7

Baylor Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Baylor Bears droughts

2

Louisville Cardinals droughts

3:32

Longest drought

Louisville Cardinals

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Baylor Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Baylor Bears

Baylor Bears

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Isaac Williams IV makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:09

9.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 14 → 15 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Obi Agbim makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:08

3.0 pts

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: J'Vonne Hadley makes 22-foot three point jumper (Ryan Conwell assists)

3-Pointer

3:32

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Isaac McKneely makes layup (Aly Khalifa assists)

2-Pointer

3:31

12.0 pts