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Saturday, December 20, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→4

-4

Montana Grizzlies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~13→35

+22

Louisville Cardinals averages 1 droughts/game  · Montana Grizzlies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Louisville Cardinals droughts

3

Montana Grizzlies droughts

5:23

Longest drought

Montana Grizzlies

39

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Montana Grizzlies drought cost

3 droughts • 35 pts drought cost

35

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Isaac McKneely makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:02

4.0 pts

Montana Grizzlies

Montana Grizzlies

3
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 17 pts

Ended by: Tyler Isaak makes layup

2-Pointer

5:23

17.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 17 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Connor Dick makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:53

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 40 → 43 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Grant Kepley makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyler Isaak assists)

3-Pointer

3:26

12.0 pts