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Saturday, February 21, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→5

-2

Michigan Wolverines

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~6→17

+11

Duke Blue Devils averages 1 droughts/game  · Michigan Wolverines forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Duke Blue Devils droughts

3

Michigan Wolverines droughts

4:46

Longest drought

Michigan Wolverines

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Duke Blue Devils drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Michigan Wolverines drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Caleb Foster makes driving layup (Cameron Boozer assists)

2-Pointer

3:23

5.0 pts

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 33 → 34 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:46

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Morez Johnson Jr. makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:33

3.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Yaxel Lendeborg makes 24-foot three point jumper (Elliot Cadeau assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

5.0 pts