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Saturday, February 21, 2026

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:25

avg duration

5

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~105

-5

Michigan Wolverines

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~1717

+0

Duke Blue Devils averages 2 droughts/game  · Michigan Wolverines forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Duke Blue Devils Droughts

1

Michigan Wolverines Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:46

Michigan Wolverines

Drought Point Swing

22

Total unanswered points during droughts

Duke Blue Devils Drought Impact

1 drought5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Michigan Wolverines Drought Impact

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4143 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Caleb Foster makes driving layup (Cameron Boozer assists)

2-Pointer

3:23

10.8 opp pts

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 3334 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:46

16.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2628 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Morez Johnson Jr. makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:33

8.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2124 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Yaxel Lendeborg makes 24-foot three point jumper (Elliot Cadeau assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

9.8 opp pts