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Saturday, November 8, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→10

-4

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→16

+2

Dayton Flyers averages 1 droughts/game  · UMBC Retrievers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Dayton Flyers droughts

2

UMBC Retrievers droughts

4:04

Longest drought

UMBC Retrievers

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Dayton Flyers drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UMBC Retrievers drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Bryce Heard made Layup.

2-Pointer

3:16

10.0 pts

UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jah'likai King made Layup. Assisted by Jose Roberto Tanchyn.

2-Pointer

4:04

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 57 → 58 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:41

7.0 pts