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Sunday, March 1, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Fairfield Stags

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1830

+12

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~2115

-6

Fairfield Stags averages 2 droughts/game  · Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Fairfield Stags Droughts

3

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:57

Fairfield Stags

Drought Point Swing

45

Total unanswered points during droughts

Fairfield Stags Drought Impact

3 droughts30 unanswered points allowed

30.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Fairfield Stags

Fairfield Stags

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3637 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Braden Sparks makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:57

17.8 opp pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3336 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Braden Sparks makes 23-foot three point jumper (Declan Wucherpfennig assists)

3-Pointer

4:45

16.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1417 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Braden Sparks makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:24

11.0 opp pts

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

2
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 3941 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Luke McEldon makes layup (Arlandus Keyes assists)

2-Pointer

4:34

17.9 opp pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 6265 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Patrick Haigh makes 23-foot three point jumper (Luke McEldon assists)

3-Pointer

4:29

12.7 opp pts