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Thursday, February 5, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→1

-2

Pts ceded

~19→23

+4

Merrimack Warriors

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~3→1

-2

Pts ceded

~20→5

-15

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers averages 2 droughts/game  · Merrimack Warriors forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers droughts

1

Merrimack Warriors droughts

7:17

Longest drought

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Merrimack Warriors drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers drought cost

1 drought • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

1
1H → 2HcriticalTO called

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 23 pts

Ended by: Xavier Lipscomb makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

7:17

23.0 pts

Merrimack Warriors

Merrimack Warriors

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ernest Shelton makes 26-foot three point jumper (Todd Brogna assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

5.0 pts