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Friday, February 20, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~15→5

-10

Niagara Purple Eagles

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:20

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 24 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→3

+0

Pts ceded

~24→27

+3

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers averages 2 droughts/game  · Niagara Purple Eagles forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers droughts

3

Niagara Purple Eagles droughts

5:41

Longest drought

Niagara Purple Eagles

32

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Niagara Purple Eagles drought cost

3 droughts • 27 pts drought cost

27

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Justin Amadi makes layup (Abdou Khadre Kébé assists)

2-Pointer

3:42

5.0 pts

Niagara Purple Eagles

Niagara Purple Eagles

3
1H → 2HcriticalTO called

Score: 31 → 32 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Drew Larson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:41

13.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 53 → 55 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Kabeya Tshibangu makes 11-foot floating jump shot (Trenton Walters assists)

2-Pointer

3:17

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 43 → 44 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Trenton Walters makes free throw 1 of 3

Free Throw

3:17

8.0 pts