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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference game
UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers

75

vs
Vermont CatamountsVermont Catamounts

62

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~15→8

-7

Vermont Catamounts

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~14→29

+15

UMBC Retrievers averages 1 droughts/game  · Vermont Catamounts forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UMBC Retrievers droughts

4

Vermont Catamounts droughts

5:00

Longest drought

Vermont Catamounts

37

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

UMBC Retrievers drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Vermont Catamounts drought cost

4 droughts • 29 pts drought cost

29

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 50 → 52 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. makes 9-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:55

8.0 pts

Vermont Catamounts

Vermont Catamounts

4
1st Halfcritical

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: TJ Long makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sean Blake assists)

3-Pointer

5:00

6.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 40 → 42 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: TJ Long makes layup

2-Pointer

4:04

4.0 pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Momo Nkugwa makes 24-foot three point jumper (Lucas Mari assists)

3-Pointer

3:48

11.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 5 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ben Johnson makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:02

8.0 pts