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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~31

-2

Pts Ceded

~228

-14

Vermont Catamounts

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~34

+1

Pts Ceded

~1829

+11

UMBC Retrievers averages 2 droughts/game  · Vermont Catamounts forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

UMBC Retrievers Droughts

1

Vermont Catamounts Droughts

4

Longest Drought

5:00

Vermont Catamounts

Drought Point Swing

37

Total unanswered points during droughts

UMBC Retrievers Drought Impact

1 drought8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Vermont Catamounts Drought Impact

4 droughts29 unanswered points allowed

29.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5052 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. makes 9-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:55

15.3 opp pts

Vermont Catamounts

Vermont Catamounts

4
1st Halfcritical

Score: 2326 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: TJ Long makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sean Blake assists)

3-Pointer

5:00

13.7 opp pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 4042 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: TJ Long makes layup

2-Pointer

4:04

10.3 opp pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 2629 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Momo Nkugwa makes 24-foot three point jumper (Lucas Mari assists)

3-Pointer

3:48

16.9 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ben Johnson makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:02

12.7 opp pts