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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Elon Phoenix

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→14

+0

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→5

-3

Elon Phoenix averages 1 droughts/game  · UNC Wilmington Seahawks forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Elon Phoenix droughts

2

UNC Wilmington Seahawks droughts

5:13

Longest drought

Elon Phoenix

19

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Elon Phoenix drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UNC Wilmington Seahawks drought cost

2 droughts • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Elon Phoenix

Elon Phoenix

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Isaac Harrell makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ja'Juan Carr assists)

3-Pointer

5:13

8.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 52 → 53 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Caleb Middleton makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:30

6.0 pts

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 69 → 71 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Christian May makes layup

2-Pointer

3:42

3.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Makoi Mabor Makoi makes layup (Jahnathan Lamothe assists)

2-Pointer

3:21

2.0 pts