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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~8→16

+8

Elon Phoenix

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→12

-2

UNC Wilmington Seahawks averages 1 droughts/game  · Elon Phoenix forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

UNC Wilmington Seahawks droughts

2

Elon Phoenix droughts

5:04

Longest drought

Elon Phoenix

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Elon Phoenix drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UNC Wilmington Seahawks drought cost

3 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UNC Wilmington Seahawks

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 54 → 57 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Christian May makes 25-foot three point jumper (Noah Ross assists)

3-Pointer

3:31

5.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Nolan Hodge makes 24-foot three point jumper (Noah Ross assists)

3-Pointer

3:28

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 13 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Nolan Hodge makes 26-foot three point jumper (Greedy Williams assists)

3-Pointer

3:08

6.0 pts

Elon Phoenix

Elon Phoenix

2
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 24 → 25 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Randall Pettus II makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

5:04

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Caleb Middleton makes 1-foot dunk (Iker Garmendia assists)

2-Pointer

3:57

5.0 pts