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Thursday, January 22, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

William & Mary Tribe

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought as predicted

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~7→0

-7

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→22

+14

William & Mary Tribe averages 1 droughts/game  · UNC Wilmington Seahawks forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

William & Mary Tribe droughts

2

UNC Wilmington Seahawks droughts

4:26

Longest drought

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

22

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

UNC Wilmington Seahawks drought impact

2 droughts • 22 unanswered points allowed

22

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
William & Mary Tribe

William & Mary Tribe

0

No notable droughts

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 8 → 10 · Opponent scored 18 pts

Ended by: Patrick Wessler makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:26

25.8 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 17 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Madison Durr makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:27

10.0 opp pts