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Thursday, November 27, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→9

-5

Georgetown Hoyas

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~10→30

+20

Dayton Flyers averages 1 droughts/game  · Georgetown Hoyas forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Dayton Flyers droughts

3

Georgetown Hoyas droughts

4:21

Longest drought

Georgetown Hoyas

39

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Dayton Flyers drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Georgetown Hoyas drought cost

3 droughts • 30 pts drought cost

30

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 42 → 43 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jordan Derkack made Free Throw.

Free Throw

4:19

9.0 pts

Georgetown Hoyas

Georgetown Hoyas

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Malik Mack made Layup. Assisted by Caleb Williams.

2-Pointer

4:21

10.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Julius Halaifonua made Layup. Assisted by Malik Mack.

2-Pointer

4:02

12.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 72 → 74 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Julius Halaifonua made Layup. Assisted by Isaiah Abraham.

2-Pointer

3:00

8.0 pts