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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Chattanooga Mocs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→14

+1

Western Carolina Catamounts

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→15

+5

Chattanooga Mocs averages 2 droughts/game  · Western Carolina Catamounts forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Chattanooga Mocs droughts

2

Western Carolina Catamounts droughts

3:47

Longest drought

Western Carolina Catamounts

29

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Chattanooga Mocs drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Western Carolina Catamounts drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Chattanooga Mocs

Chattanooga Mocs

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Billy Smith makes layup (Makai Richards assists)

2-Pointer

3:17

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 14 → 17 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jordan Frison makes 25-foot three point jumper (Collin Mulholland assists)

3-Pointer

3:02

5.0 pts

Western Carolina Catamounts

Western Carolina Catamounts

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 67 → 69 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Samuel Dada makes layup (Julien Soumaoro assists)

2-Pointer

3:47

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 37 → 38 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Samuel Dada makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:14

6.0 pts