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Thursday, January 29, 2026

Conference game
Mercer BearsMercer Bears

95

vs
UNC Greensboro SpartansUNC Greensboro Spartans

77

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Mercer Bears

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~7→12

+5

UNC Greensboro Spartans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→15

+4

Mercer Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · UNC Greensboro Spartans forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Mercer Bears droughts

1

UNC Greensboro Spartans droughts

5:11

Longest drought

UNC Greensboro Spartans

27

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Mercer Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UNC Greensboro Spartans drought cost

1 drought • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 33 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:34

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 8 → 11 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Brady Shoulders makes 23-foot three point jumper (Baraka Okojie assists)

3-Pointer

3:22

8.0 pts

UNC Greensboro Spartans

UNC Greensboro Spartans

1
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 21 → 23 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: KJ Younger makes layup

2-Pointer

5:11

15.0 pts