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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Western Carolina Catamounts

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~16→12

-4

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~8→15

+7

Western Carolina Catamounts averages 1 droughts/game  · East Tennessee State Buccaneers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Western Carolina Catamounts droughts

3

East Tennessee State Buccaneers droughts

4:43

Longest drought

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

27

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers drought cost

3 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Western Carolina Catamounts drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Western Carolina Catamounts

Western Carolina Catamounts

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 68 → 70 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Marcus Kell makes layup (Tidjiane Dioumassi assists)

2-Pointer

3:37

3.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 36 → 39 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Marcus Kell makes 23-foot three point jumper (Julien Soumaoro assists)

3-Pointer

3:07

9.0 pts

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 63 → 65 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Brian Taylor II makes 5-foot floating jump shot (Cam Morris III assists)

2-Pointer

4:43

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 20 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Brian Taylor II makes 24-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:15

7.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 65 → 67 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Blake Barkley makes layup

2-Pointer

3:09

3.0 pts