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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game
East Tennessee State BuccaneersEast Tennessee State Buccaneers

77

vs
Mercer BearsMercer Bears

71

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→11

+3

Mercer Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~11→30

+19

East Tennessee State Buccaneers averages 1 droughts/game  · Mercer Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

East Tennessee State Buccaneers droughts

3

Mercer Bears droughts

5:40

Longest drought

Mercer Bears

41

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Mercer Bears drought cost

3 droughts • 30 pts drought cost

30

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
East Tennessee State Buccaneers

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 8 → 10 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Cam Morris III makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

4:38

11.0 pts

Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 60 → 62 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Quinton Perkins II makes driving layup

2-Pointer

5:40

14.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 18 → 20 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Zaire Williams makes layup

2-Pointer

3:29

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 53 → 56 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Quinton Perkins II makes 27-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:22

7.0 pts