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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game
Cal State Northridge MatadorsCal State Northridge Matadors

81

vs
UC San Diego TritonsUC San Diego Tritons

64

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal State Northridge Matadors

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~13→26

+13

UC San Diego Tritons

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→15

+8

Cal State Northridge Matadors averages 1 droughts/game  · UC San Diego Tritons forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Cal State Northridge Matadors droughts

1

UC San Diego Tritons droughts

5:56

Longest drought

UC San Diego Tritons

41

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal State Northridge Matadors drought cost

3 droughts • 26 pts drought cost

26

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UC San Diego Tritons drought cost

1 drought • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

3
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 45 → 47 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Mahmoud Fofana makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

5:02

14.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jai Chisolm makes layup (Grady Lewis assists)

2-Pointer

3:24

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 23 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Davius Loury makes 25-foot three point jumper (Larry Hughes II assists)

3-Pointer

3:14

7.0 pts

UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons

1
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Hudson Mayes makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

5:56

15.0 pts