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Monday, March 2, 2026

Conference game
UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosUT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

74

vs
Northwestern State DemonsNorthwestern State Demons

62

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→4

-7

Northwestern State Demons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~19→18

-1

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros averages 2 droughts/game  · Northwestern State Demons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros droughts

2

Northwestern State Demons droughts

4:43

Longest drought

Northwestern State Demons

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northwestern State Demons drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 58 → 59 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jaylen Washington makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:19

4.0 pts

Northwestern State Demons

Northwestern State Demons

2
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 43 → 45 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Micah Thomas makes 17-foot jumper (Willie Williams assists)

2-Pointer

4:43

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Chris Mubiru makes 2-foot dunk (Micah Thomas assists)

2-Pointer

3:35

10.0 pts