Monday, February 23, 2026
Conference gameDrought outlookSeason rates vs final result
Northwestern State Demons
High confidence2
est. droughts
4:00
avg duration
8
pts/drought
est. 17 pts ceded/game
Final results
~ Worse than expectedDroughts
+1
Pts ceded
+6
Incarnate Word Cardinals
High confidence2
est. droughts
3:51
avg duration
6
pts/drought
est. 11 pts ceded/game
Final results
✓ Better than expectedDroughts
-1
Pts ceded
-7
Northwestern State Demons averages 2 droughts/game · Incarnate Word Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game
4
Total droughts
Both teams combined
3
Northwestern State Demons droughts
1
Incarnate Word Cardinals droughts
4:58
Longest drought
Northwestern State Demons
27
Drought point swing
Total drought cost (pts)
Incarnate Word Cardinals drought cost
1 drought • 4 pts drought cost
4
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
Northwestern State Demons drought cost
3 droughts • 23 pts drought cost
23
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
Game timeline
All droughts
Northwestern State Demons
3Score: 18 → 20 · Opponent scored 12 pts
Ended by: Willie Williams makes layup (CJ Larry assists)
2-Pointer4:58
12.0 pts
Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 6 pts
Ended by: Willie Williams makes 4-foot hook shot
2-Pointer4:37
6.0 pts
Score: 50 → 51 · Opponent scored 5 pts
Ended by: Micah Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2
Free Throw3:19
5.0 pts
Incarnate Word Cardinals
1Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 4 pts
Ended by: Harold Woods makes layup (Davion Bailey assists)
2-Pointer4:27
4.0 pts