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Monday, February 2, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern State Demons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~18→23

+5

Nicholls Colonels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~13→8

-5

Northwestern State Demons averages 2 droughts/game  · Nicholls Colonels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Northwestern State Demons droughts

1

Nicholls Colonels droughts

5:13

Longest drought

Northwestern State Demons

31

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Nicholls Colonels drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northwestern State Demons drought cost

3 droughts • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern State Demons

Northwestern State Demons

3
1st Halfcritical

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Willie Williams makes layup

2-Pointer

5:13

10.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 51 → 54 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Chris Mubiru makes 22-foot three point jumper (Willie Williams assists)

3-Pointer

3:52

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 8 → 10 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Micah Thomas makes 20-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:20

6.0 pts

Nicholls Colonels

Nicholls Colonels

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 42 → 43 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jaylen Searles makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:44

8.0 pts