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Monday, February 16, 2026

Conference game
Northwestern State DemonsNorthwestern State Demons

64

vs
McNeese CowboysMcNeese Cowboys

75

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern State Demons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~20→18

-2

McNeese Cowboys

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→13

+4

Northwestern State Demons averages 2 droughts/game  · McNeese Cowboys forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Northwestern State Demons droughts

1

McNeese Cowboys droughts

7:35

Longest drought

McNeese Cowboys

31

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

McNeese Cowboys drought cost

1 drought • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northwestern State Demons drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern State Demons

Northwestern State Demons

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 18 → 19 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Micah Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:44

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 45 → 47 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Micah Thomas makes 16-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:10

9.0 pts

McNeese Cowboys

McNeese Cowboys

1
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 73 → 74 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Jacolb Fredson-Cole makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

7:35

13.0 pts