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Friday, February 27, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Texas State Bobcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→17

+4

App State Mountaineers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~15→22

+7

Texas State Bobcats averages 1 droughts/game  · App State Mountaineers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Texas State Bobcats droughts

3

App State Mountaineers droughts

4:43

Longest drought

App State Mountaineers

39

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

App State Mountaineers drought cost

3 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Texas State Bobcats drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 2 → 3 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: DJ Hall makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:20

11.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 49 → 51 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Mark Drone makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

4:20

6.0 pts

App State Mountaineers

App State Mountaineers

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 23 → 24 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Michael Marcus Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:43

6.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 55 → 57 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Alonzo Dodd makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:42

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 42 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Alonzo Dodd makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kasen Jennings assists)

3-Pointer

3:56

9.0 pts