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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

South Alabama Jaguars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→7

-7

Texas State Bobcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~15→17

+2

South Alabama Jaguars averages 2 droughts/game  · Texas State Bobcats forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

South Alabama Jaguars droughts

2

Texas State Bobcats droughts

5:56

Longest drought

Texas State Bobcats

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

South Alabama Jaguars drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Texas State Bobcats drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
South Alabama Jaguars

South Alabama Jaguars

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 9 → 12 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Adam Olsen makes 23-foot three point jumper (JJ Wheat assists)

3-Pointer

5:40

7.0 pts

Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 44 → 47 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Franck Emmou makes 25-foot three point jumper (Mark Drone assists)

3-Pointer

5:56

15.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Mark Drone makes layup

2-Pointer

3:19

2.0 pts