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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Texas State Bobcats

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→7

+0

Old Dominion Monarchs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→4

+3

Pts ceded

~11→35

+24

Texas State Bobcats averages 1 droughts/game  · Old Dominion Monarchs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Texas State Bobcats droughts

4

Old Dominion Monarchs droughts

4:21

Longest drought

Old Dominion Monarchs

42

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Old Dominion Monarchs drought cost

4 droughts • 35 pts drought cost

35

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Texas State Bobcats drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Mark Drone makes 14-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

3:09

7.0 pts

Old Dominion Monarchs

Old Dominion Monarchs

4
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 35 → 37 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: KC Shaw makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:21

13.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Zacch Wiggins makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:00

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 18 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: LJ Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:52

10.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 45 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Zacch Wiggins makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:34

5.0 pts