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Thursday, January 29, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

South Alabama Jaguars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→5

+3

Pts ceded

~15→17

+2

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

High confidence

4

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 29 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~4→5

+1

Pts ceded

~29→20

-9

South Alabama Jaguars averages 2 droughts/game  · Coastal Carolina Chanticleers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

10

Total droughts

Both teams combined

5

South Alabama Jaguars droughts

5

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers droughts

4:46

Longest drought

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

37

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers drought cost

5 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

South Alabama Jaguars drought cost

5 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
South Alabama Jaguars

South Alabama Jaguars

5
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: JJ Wheat makes 11-foot floating jump shot (Hantz Louis-Jeune assists)

2-Pointer

4:46

2.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Chaze Harris makes 3-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:59

5.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Adam Olsen makes 14-foot jumper (Chaze Harris assists)

2-Pointer

3:37

2.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 48 → 50 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Adam Olsen makes 16-foot jumper (Randy Brady assists)

2-Pointer

3:14

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Jayden Cooper makes layup

2-Pointer

3:11

0.0 pts

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

5
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Reggie Hill makes layup

2-Pointer

4:46

6.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 1 pts

Ended by: Nadjrick Peat makes 3-foot dunk (Tristan Thompson assists)

2-Pointer

4:43

1.0 pts

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 24 → 25 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: AJ Dancler makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:39

9.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Nadjrick Peat makes layup (AJ Dancler assists)

2-Pointer

3:24

2.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 20 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Rasheed Jones makes 25-foot three point jumper (Reggie Hill assists)

3-Pointer

3:01

2.0 pts