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Friday, January 23, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

App State Mountaineers

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→16

+6

UL Monroe Warhawks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:19

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~19→31

+12

App State Mountaineers averages 2 droughts/game  · UL Monroe Warhawks forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

App State Mountaineers droughts

3

UL Monroe Warhawks droughts

8:05

Longest drought

UL Monroe Warhawks

47

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

App State Mountaineers drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UL Monroe Warhawks drought cost

3 droughts • 31 pts drought cost

31

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
App State Mountaineers

App State Mountaineers

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 10 → 11 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Chad Moodie makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:11

14.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Luke Wilson makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:37

2.0 pts

UL Monroe Warhawks

UL Monroe Warhawks

3
1st Halfcritical

Score: 16 → 17 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: MJ Russell makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

8:05

8.0 pts

1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Alex Molofeev makes layup

2-Pointer

6:45

12.0 pts

2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 24 → 26 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: MJ Russell makes layup

2-Pointer

5:03

11.0 pts