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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Texas State Bobcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~10→17

+7

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→3

+0

Pts ceded

~18→21

+3

Texas State Bobcats averages 1 droughts/game  · Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns forces 2 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Texas State Bobcats droughts

3

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns droughts

5:21

Longest drought

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

38

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns drought cost

3 droughts • 21 pts drought cost

21

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Texas State Bobcats drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 33 → 36 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Kaden Gumbs makes 27-foot three point jumper (Franck Emmou assists)

3-Pointer

5:05

11.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 29 → 31 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: DJ Hall makes layup

2-Pointer

3:34

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: DJ Hall makes layup

2-Pointer

3:13

0.0 pts

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Todd Jones Jr. makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

5:21

6.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 39 → 41 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Mike Collins makes layup

2-Pointer

4:53

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 5 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Dariyus Woodson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Mike Collins assists)

3-Pointer

3:57

6.0 pts