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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

James Madison Dukes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→16

+3

Marshall Thundering Herd

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~9→17

+8

James Madison Dukes averages 2 droughts/game  · Marshall Thundering Herd forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

James Madison Dukes droughts

3

Marshall Thundering Herd droughts

4:50

Longest drought

James Madison Dukes

33

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

James Madison Dukes drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Marshall Thundering Herd drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
James Madison Dukes

James Madison Dukes

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Eddie Ricks III makes layup

2-Pointer

4:50

12.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 25 → 26 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Justin McBride makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:11

4.0 pts

Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall Thundering Herd

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 64 → 65 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jalen Speer makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:01

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Drew Fuquay makes layup

2-Pointer

3:29

3.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 43 → 46 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jalen Speer makes 27-foot three point jumper (Bryce Slay assists)

3-Pointer

3:07

7.0 pts