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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

James Madison Dukes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1516

+1

Marshall Thundering Herd

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1517

+2

James Madison Dukes averages 2 droughts/game  · Marshall Thundering Herd forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

James Madison Dukes Droughts

2

Marshall Thundering Herd Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:50

James Madison Dukes

Drought Point Swing

33

Total unanswered points during droughts

James Madison Dukes Drought Impact

2 droughts16 unanswered points allowed

16.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
James Madison Dukes

James Madison Dukes

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 24 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Eddie Ricks III makes layup

2-Pointer

4:50

19.7 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 2526 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Justin McBride makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:11

9.1 opp pts

Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall Thundering Herd

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 6465 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jalen Speer makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:01

13.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1618 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Drew Fuquay makes layup

2-Pointer

3:29

8.7 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 4346 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jalen Speer makes 27-foot three point jumper (Bryce Slay assists)

3-Pointer

3:07

12.1 opp pts