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Monday, March 2, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~17→42

+25

Montana State Bobcats

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~6→0

-6

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averages 2 droughts/game  · Montana State Bobcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

4

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks droughts

0

Montana State Bobcats droughts

4:28

Longest drought

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

42

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks drought cost

4 droughts • 42 pts drought cost

42

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Oakland Fort makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:28

8.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 37 → 39 · Opponent scored 16 pts

Ended by: Chris Komin makes 17-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:21

16.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Chris Komin makes 23-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Shaw assists)

3-Pointer

3:37

11.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Diego Campisano makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:31

7.0 pts

Montana State Bobcats

Montana State Bobcats

0

No notable droughts