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Monday, March 2, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 23 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~34

+1

Pts Ceded

~2342

+19

Montana State Bobcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~10

-1

Pts Ceded

~90

-9

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averages 2 droughts/game  · Montana State Bobcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Droughts

4

Montana State Bobcats Droughts

0

Longest Drought

4:28

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Drought Point Swing

42

Total unanswered points during droughts

4 droughts42 unanswered points allowed

42.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1315 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Oakland Fort makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:28

15.3 opp pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 3739 · Opponent scored 16 pts

Ended by: Chris Komin makes 17-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:21

23.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 47 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Chris Komin makes 23-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Shaw assists)

3-Pointer

3:37

16.9 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 911 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Diego Campisano makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:31

12.7 opp pts

Montana State Bobcats

Montana State Bobcats

0

No notable droughts