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Thursday, January 1, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Montana State Bobcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→16

+8

Northern Colorado Bears

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→14

+4

Montana State Bobcats averages 1 droughts/game  · Northern Colorado Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Montana State Bobcats droughts

1

Northern Colorado Bears droughts

4:51

Longest drought

Montana State Bobcats

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Montana State Bobcats drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northern Colorado Bears drought cost

1 drought • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Montana State Bobcats

Montana State Bobcats

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jed Miller makes layup

2-Pointer

4:51

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Seth Amunrud makes layup

2-Pointer

3:50

6.0 pts

Northern Colorado Bears

Northern Colorado Bears

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 12 → 15 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Zach Bloch makes 25-foot three point jumper (Quinn Denker assists)

3-Pointer

4:25

14.0 pts