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Monday, March 2, 2026

Conference game
Northern Colorado BearsNorthern Colorado Bears

85

vs
Montana GrizzliesMontana Grizzlies

57

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northern Colorado Bears

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

Montana Grizzlies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→4

+3

Pts ceded

~9→26

+17

Northern Colorado Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · Montana Grizzlies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Northern Colorado Bears droughts

4

Montana Grizzlies droughts

5:33

Longest drought

Montana Grizzlies

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Montana Grizzlies drought cost

4 droughts • 26 pts drought cost

26

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northern Colorado Bears

Northern Colorado Bears

0

No notable droughts

Montana Grizzlies

Montana Grizzlies

4
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Te'Jon Sawyer makes layup

2-Pointer

5:33

4.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Tyler Isaak makes layup

2-Pointer

4:09

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 38 → 41 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Chase Henderson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brooklyn Hicks assists)

3-Pointer

3:15

9.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Money Williams makes layup

2-Pointer

3:04

6.0 pts